Blacks Power
vs
URA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Blacks Power
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Blacks Power vs URA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blacks Power vs URA
| Probability | Blacks Power | Draw | URA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 31.3% | 27.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.3% | 31.3% | 27.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Blacks Power
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Blacks Power vs URA match preview
Blacks Power and URA are set to clash in the Uganda Premier League on October 20, 2026. According to our model, Blacks Power has a 41% chance of winning, while URA stands at 27%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Blacks Power, predicted at 12%. The expected goals for Blacks Power is 1.25, compared to URA's 0.97, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Blacks Power has recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches, while URA has two wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, there have been no wins for either side, with two draws. Both teams have a 45% chance of scoring, and there is a 38% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blacks Power and URA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Blacks Power and URA attack and defence ratings
Blacks Power
URA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blacks Power vs URA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blacks Power | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blacks Power | 41.3% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| URA | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blacks Power win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Blacks Power vs URA stats
Blacks Power and URA recent form
| Blacks Power |
LLLWWW |
| URA |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blacks Power and URA season so far
Blacks Power record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
URA record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Blacks Power vs URA head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-03 | Blacks Power | URA | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-02 | URA | Blacks Power | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.