Uganda Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Mbarara City
vs
Blacks Power
2 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | R. Mugisha | ||
| 40′ | E. Tumwine | ||
| 50′ | M. Innocent |
Mbarara City
41%
Draw
33%
Blacks Power
26%
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mbarara City vs Blacks Power
| Probability | Mbarara City | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 33.5% | 25.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.8% | 33.5% | 25.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
31%
No goals
15%
Mbarara City and Blacks Power expected goals
Mbarara City
1.12
Blacks Power
0.83
Total expected goals: 1.96
Mbarara City and Blacks Power attack and defence ratings
Mbarara City
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Blacks Power
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power: result vs prediction
Mbarara City 2 – 1 Blacks Power
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mbarara City | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mbarara City | 40.8% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Blacks Power | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mbarara City win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.5% |
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power stats
Mbarara City and Blacks Power recent form
| Mbarara City |
LDDLLW |
| Blacks Power |
LLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mbarara City and Blacks Power going into this match
Blacks Power record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.