Lugazi
vs
BUL
0 – 0 Full time
Lugazi vs BUL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lugazi vs BUL
| Probability | Lugazi | Draw | BUL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.3% | 30.3% | 48.4% |
| Market | 17.2% | 28.4% | 54.4% |
| Final | 18.2% | 28.9% | 52.9% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.5% | -1.5% |
Why BUL
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lugazi and BUL expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Lugazi and BUL attack and defence ratings
Lugazi
BUL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lugazi vs BUL: result vs prediction
Lugazi 0 – 0 BUL
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lugazi vs BUL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BUL | 52.9% | 1.89 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lugazi | 18.2% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| BUL | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | BUL win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Lugazi vs BUL stats
Lugazi and BUL recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lugazi and BUL going into this match
Lugazi record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Lugazi vs BUL head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | BUL | Lugazi | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Lugazi | BUL | Uganda Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-29 | BUL | Lugazi | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-01-03 | Lugazi | BUL | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lugazi vs BUL odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.2%, draw 28.4%, away 54.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.04 | 3.14 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.10 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 2.90 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 3.15 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 3.30 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 5.85 | 3.14 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 4.86 | 3.17 | 1.65 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.00 | 1.67 |