Vipers
vs
Maroons
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vipers
2 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Vipers vs Maroons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vipers vs Maroons
| Probability | Vipers | Draw | Maroons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 19.7% | 6.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.9% | 19.7% | 6.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.45.
Vipers vs Maroons match preview
Vipers are set to face Maroons in the Uganda Premier League, with a strong probability of 74% favoring a Vipers victory according to our model. The expected goals for Vipers stand at 2.01, while Maroons are projected to score only 0.46. Recent form shows Vipers with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Maroons have experienced a mixed bag with three wins and three losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Vipers, occurring with a 17% probability. Additionally, there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams to score has a 33% likelihood. Historically, Vipers have won their last two encounters against Maroons without any draws or losses.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vipers and Maroons expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Vipers and Maroons attack and defence ratings
Vipers
Maroons
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vipers vs Maroons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 73.9% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Maroons | 6.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.4% |
| No | 67.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 48.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 26.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 16.3% | |
| 3-0 | 11.6% |
Vipers vs Maroons stats
Vipers vs Maroons head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Maroons | Vipers | Uganda Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Vipers | Maroons | Uganda Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.