Vipers
vs
Maroons
1 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | D. Niwamanya | ||
| 66′ | K. Dasylva Bady |
Vipers vs Maroons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vipers vs Maroons
| Probability | Vipers | Draw | Maroons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.7% | 19.8% | 6.5% |
| Market | 72.2% | 18.8% | 9.0% |
| Final | 72.6% | 19.1% | 8.3% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.46.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vipers and Maroons expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Vipers and Maroons attack and defence ratings
Vipers
Maroons
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vipers vs Maroons: result vs prediction
Vipers 1 – 1 Maroons
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vipers vs Maroons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 72.6% | 1.38 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 72.6% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Maroons | 8.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 26.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 16.3% | |
| 3-0 | 11.5% |
Vipers vs Maroons stats
Vipers and Maroons recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vipers and Maroons going into this match
Maroons record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Vipers vs Maroons head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Maroons | Vipers | Uganda Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Vipers | Maroons | Uganda Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-24 | Maroons | Vipers | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-06 | Vipers | Maroons | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-23 | Vipers | Maroons | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-13 | Maroons | Vipers | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-05 | Maroons | Vipers | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-11-04 | Vipers | Maroons | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2020-02-26 | Vipers | Maroons | Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2019-11-22 | Maroons | Vipers | Premier League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vipers vs Maroons odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.2%, draw 18.8%, away 9.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 4.75 | 11.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 4.50 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 4.20 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 4.70 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 4.75 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 5.07 | 9.39 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.50 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .