Uganda Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Kataka
vs
Vipers
0 – 5 Full time
| 16′ | A. Usama | ||
| 51′ | A. Usama | ||
| 55′ | A. Usama | ||
| 76′ | F. Miya | ||
| 90′ | M. Karisa |
Kataka
12%
Draw
28%
Vipers
60%
Kataka vs Vipers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kataka vs Vipers
| Probability | Kataka | Draw | Vipers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.0% | 27.6% | 60.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 12.0% | 27.6% | 60.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Kataka and Vipers expected goals
Kataka
0.54
Vipers
1.52
Total expected goals: 2.06
Kataka and Vipers attack and defence ratings
Kataka
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Vipers
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
0.54 -46%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kataka vs Vipers: result vs prediction
Kataka 0 – 5 Vipers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kataka vs Vipers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kataka | 12.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Vipers | 60.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.7% |
| No | 66.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.3% |
| 0-2 | 14.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.8% |
Kataka vs Vipers stats
Kataka and Vipers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Kataka and Vipers going into this match
Kataka record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.