URA
vs
Vipers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vipers
0 – 1 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
URA vs Vipers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: URA vs Vipers
| Probability | URA | Draw | Vipers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.8% | 25.9% | 63.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.8% | 25.9% | 63.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
URA vs Vipers match preview
URA faces Vipers in the Uganda Premier League on October 31, 2026. According to our model, URA has a probability of 11% to win, while Vipers holds a 63% chance. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 18% probability. URA's recent form shows a struggle, with five losses and only one win in their last six matches, while Vipers has been more consistent, recording three wins and three draws in their last six games.
In terms of expected goals, URA is projected to score 0.53, whereas Vipers is expected to net 1.63. The model suggests a 37% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance for both teams to score. Head-to-head results indicate URA has not won against Vipers in their last two encounters, with one draw and one win for Vipers.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
URA and Vipers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
URA and Vipers attack and defence ratings
URA
Vipers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
URA vs Vipers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | URA | 10.8% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Vipers | 63.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.2% |
| No | 65.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 17.8% |
| 0-2 | 15.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
URA vs Vipers stats
URA and Vipers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
URA and Vipers season so far
URA record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Vipers record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
URA vs Vipers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Vipers | URA | Uganda Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | URA | Vipers | Uganda Premier League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.