Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
vs
Inhulets
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | O. Komar | ||
| 23′ | O. Yevtushenko | ||
| 23′ | D. Kirichenko | ||
| 51′ | V. Khamelyuk | ||
| 63′ | A. LyegostayevA. Shpyryonok | ||
| 63′ | S. SharayD. Hryshchenko | ||
| 65′ | T. KhussinO. Manastyrnyi | ||
| 65′ | D. YanyukY. Profatylo | ||
| 69′ | R. DedukhY. Dobrokhotov | ||
| 79′ | O. ChernovD. Ryabyi | ||
| 80′ | D. Hryshchenko | ||
| 87′ | Y. Dobrokhotov | ||
| 90′ | V. Kucheruk | ||
| 90′ | S. UrsolovY. Knyazev | ||
| 90′ | D. TuzenkoD. Bezkleynyi |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
44%
Draw
32%
Inhulets
25%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets
| Probability | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 31.5% | 24.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.6% | 31.5% | 24.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.89.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Inhulets expected goals
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.26
Inhulets
0.89
Total expected goals: 2.14
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Inhulets attack and defence ratings
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Inhulets
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets: result vs prediction
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1 – 0 Inhulets
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SK Poltava vs Chernihiv — team news & stats
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II
- Prykarpattia vs Metal Kharkiv — team news & stats
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria — team news & stats
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk v UCSA — match page
- Kulykiv v Probiy Horodenka — match page
- Yarud Mariupol' v Nyva Ternopil — match page
Before and after this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 43.6% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Inhulets | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets stats
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Inhulets recent form
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
DLLDWW |
| Inhulets |
WWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Inhulets going into this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inhulets record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
1Draws
4Inhulets wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-29 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Inhulets | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Inhulets | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga | 4-2 |
| 2023-11-19 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Inhulets | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-15 | Inhulets | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.