Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
Polissya II
3 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | B. Kovalenko | ||
| 15′ | R. Savchenko | ||
| 22′ | S. Myakushko | ||
| 43′ | V. MezentsevS. Cherchukan | ||
| 56′ | O. Sakhnenko | ||
| 59′ | O. Sakhnenko | ||
| 62′ | A. GolovatenkoV. Tymenko | ||
| 63′ | O. Savchuk | ||
| 74′ | S. MyakushkoV. Churko | ||
| 74′ | O. SavchukS. Ikenna | ||
| 77′ | B. KovalenkoR. Babych | ||
| 79′ | Y. Karaman | ||
| 85′ | M. GryshchenkoY. Mykytyuk | ||
| 86′ | V. Kramar | ||
| 86′ | Y. YarmakR. Tkachenko | ||
| 90′ | O. KostrytsyaD. Prykhodko |
Lokomotiv Kyiv
56%
Draw
26%
Polissya II
18%
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II
| Probability | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Draw | Polissya II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 25.7% | 18.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.3% | 25.7% | 18.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II expected goals
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.74
Polissya II
0.89
Total expected goals: 2.64
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Polissya II
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II: result vs prediction
Lokomotiv Kyiv 3 – 3 Polissya II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SK Poltava vs Chernihiv — team news & stats
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Inhulets
- Prykarpattia vs Metal Kharkiv — team news & stats
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs Oleksandria — team news & stats
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk v UCSA — match page
- Kulykiv v Probiy Horodenka — match page
- Yarud Mariupol' v Nyva Ternopil — match page
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 56.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Polissya II | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II stats
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II recent form
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
WWWLLD |
| Polissya II |
LLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II going into this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polissya II record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).