Probiy Horodenka
vs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | B. Mordas | ||
| 58′ | S. Myakushko |
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Probability | Probiy Horodenka | Draw | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.9% | 26.1% | 55.9% |
| Market | 42.2% | 28.0% | 29.8% |
| Final | 36.2% | 27.5% | 36.3% |
| Edge | -24.3% | -1.8% | +26.1% |
Why Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lokomotiv Kyiv below the model: +26.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Probiy Horodenka and Lokomotiv Kyiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Probiy Horodenka and Lokomotiv Kyiv attack and defence ratings
Probiy Horodenka
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: result vs prediction
Probiy Horodenka 0 – 2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 36.3% | 2.75 | +26.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Probiy Horodenka | 36.2% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.8% | |
| 0-2 | 11.0% |
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv stats
Probiy Horodenka and Lokomotiv Kyiv recent form
| Probiy Horodenka |
LLLLLD |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
WWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Probiy Horodenka and Lokomotiv Kyiv going into this match
Probiy Horodenka record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Probiy Horodenka | Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 28.0%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.08 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.18 | 2.97 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .