Kolos Kovalivka II
vs
Probiy Horodenka
4 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | A. Nedolya | ||
| 51′ | A. Nedolya | ||
| 55′ | A. Fesenko | ||
| 60′ | M. Girnyi | ||
| 75′ | R. Taranukha | ||
| 89′ | D. Kolesnyk |
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka
| Probability | Kolos Kovalivka II | Draw | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 28.3% | 21.5% |
| Market | 45.1% | 28.4% | 26.5% |
| Final | 46.4% | 28.3% | 25.2% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -0.1% | -5.0% |
Why Kolos Kovalivka II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kolos Kovalivka II below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kolos Kovalivka II and Probiy Horodenka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Kolos Kovalivka II and Probiy Horodenka attack and defence ratings
Kolos Kovalivka II
Probiy Horodenka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka: result vs prediction
Kolos Kovalivka II 4 – 2 Probiy Horodenka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 46.4% | 2.15 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 46.4% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Probiy Horodenka | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolos Kovalivka II win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka stats
Kolos Kovalivka II and Probiy Horodenka recent form
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
LWLLLL |
| Probiy Horodenka |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II and Probiy Horodenka going into this match
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Probiy Horodenka record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-30 | Probiy Horodenka | Kolos Kovalivka II | Druha Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-23 | Kolos Kovalivka II | Probiy Horodenka | Druha Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs Probiy Horodenka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 28.4%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.17 | 3.46 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.13 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.40 |