Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Prykarpattia vs UCSA

1 – 0 Full time

68′M. Protsiv

MCS Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk

Prykarpattia 58%
Draw 23%
UCSA 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Prykarpattia vs UCSA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prykarpattia vs UCSA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPrykarpattiaDrawUCSA
Model59.0%23.1%17.9%
Market57.2%23.2%19.6%
Final57.6%23.2%19.2%
Edge+1.8%-0.1%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Prykarpattia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prykarpattia ↓ / UCSA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Prykarpattia and UCSA expected goals

Prykarpattia 2.02
UCSA 1.03

Total expected goals: 3.06

Prykarpattia and UCSA attack and defence ratings

Prykarpattia

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.84 -16%

UCSA

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Prykarpattia vs UCSA: result vs prediction

Prykarpattia 1 – 0 UCSA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Prykarpattia vs UCSA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prykarpattia 57.6% 1.73 +1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.7% 2.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prykarpattia57.6%
Draw23.2%
UCSA19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Both teams to scoreYes56.9%
No43.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1Prykarpattia win36.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss40.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-110.0%
2-09.6%

Prykarpattia vs UCSA stats

Prykarpattia and UCSA recent form

newest first
Prykarpattia WDWWLD
UCSA WLLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Prykarpattia and UCSA going into this match

league record before kick-off

Prykarpattia record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UCSA record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prykarpattia vs UCSA head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Prykarpattia wins 0Draws 2UCSA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25PrykarpattiaUCSAPersha Liga1-2
2025-10-09UCSAPrykarpattiaPersha Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Prykarpattia vs UCSA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 23.2%, away 19.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.61 3.72 4.70
Betano 1.60 3.75 4.65
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.00
Marathonbet 1.53 4.05 4.50
Pinnacle 1.54 4.09 4.28
William Hill 1.60 3.70 4.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.