Chernihiv
vs
Inhulets
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chernihiv
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chernihiv vs Inhulets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chernihiv vs Inhulets
| Probability | Chernihiv | Draw | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 30.2% | 32.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.1% | 30.2% | 32.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Chernihiv vs Inhulets match preview
Chernihiv faces Inhulets in their upcoming Persha Liga match, with our model assigning a 37% probability of a Chernihiv victory, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 33% likelihood of an Inhulets win. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Chernihiv, with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for Chernihiv and 1.15 for Inhulets.
In terms of recent form, Chernihiv has recorded a mixed set of results, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Inhulets has shown slightly better form, winning three of their last five games. Historically, Inhulets has had the upper hand, winning three of the last four encounters, with Chernihiv yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chernihiv and Inhulets expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Chernihiv and Inhulets attack and defence ratings
Chernihiv
Inhulets
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chernihiv vs Inhulets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 37.1% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Inhulets | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chernihiv win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
Chernihiv vs Inhulets stats
Chernihiv and Inhulets recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chernihiv and Inhulets season so far
Chernihiv record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inhulets record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Chernihiv vs Inhulets head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Chernihiv | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Inhulets | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Inhulets | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 6-1 |
| 2023-08-07 | Chernihiv | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.