Inhulets
vs
Probiy Horodenka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inhulets
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.11.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka
| Probability | Inhulets | Draw | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.9% | 24.7% | 21.4% |
| Market | 44.5% | 26.1% | 29.4% |
| Final | 46.9% | 25.7% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
Why Inhulets
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.11.
- The market prices Inhulets below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.5% per unit staked (our 46.9% × 2.08 − 1).
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka match preview
Inhulets enters this match with a 54% probability of winning against Probiy Horodenka, who has a 21% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Inhulets, with a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Inhulets stand at 1.86, while Probiy Horodenka is projected to score 1.11.
Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Inhulets recording one win in their last six matches, while Probiy Horodenka has two wins in their last six. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 57%, and both teams are expected to score, with a 58% likelihood. In their last three encounters, Inhulets has secured two wins and one draw against Probiy Horodenka.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inhulets and Probiy Horodenka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Inhulets and Probiy Horodenka attack and defence ratings
Inhulets
Probiy Horodenka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inhulets | 46.9% | 2.13 | +2.3% | 2.08 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inhulets | 46.9% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Probiy Horodenka | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inhulets win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka stats
Inhulets and Probiy Horodenka recent form
| Inhulets |
DLWLLL |
| Probiy Horodenka |
DDLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inhulets and Probiy Horodenka season so far
Inhulets record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Probiy Horodenka record
- They have won 2 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Probiy Horodenka | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Inhulets | Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Probiy Horodenka | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-21 | Probiy Horodenka | Inhulets | Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 26.1%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .