Persha Liga Β· Β·Matchday 17

Polissya II vs Inhulets

Garuda Lions Prediction: Polissya II

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr

Polissya II 38%
Draw 26%
Inhulets 36%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Polissya II wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
64%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Polissya II vs Inhulets overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polissya II vs Inhulets

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolissya IIDrawInhulets
Model38.3%25.9%35.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final38.3%25.9%35.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Polissya II vs Inhulets match preview

Polissya II faces Inhulets in a closely matched encounter, with our model assigning probabilities of 38% for a Polissya II win, 36% for an Inhulets victory, and 26% for a draw. The expected goals are relatively even, with Polissya II at 1.59 and Inhulets at 1.53. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Polissya II, occurring with a 9% probability.

Both teams have struggled recently, with Polissya II recording a sequence of results including four losses, while Inhulets has also faced challenges, managing only one win in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60%, and there is a 64% chance that both teams will score in this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polissya II ↓ / Inhulets β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Polissya II and Inhulets expected goals

Polissya II 1.59
Inhulets 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.12

Polissya II and Inhulets attack and defence ratings

Polissya II

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.60 +60%

Inhulets

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Polissya II vs Inhulets markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polissya II 38.3% 2.61 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.57 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 61.7% 1.62 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polissya II38.3%
Draw25.9%
Inhulets35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)61.7%
Handicap -1Polissya II win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss61.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-18.5%
1-28.2%

Polissya II vs Inhulets stats

Polissya II and Inhulets recent form

newest first
Polissya II LDLDLD
Inhulets DLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polissya II and Inhulets season so far

league record

Polissya II record

  • They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Inhulets record

  • They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Polissya II vs Inhulets head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Polissya II wins 0Draws 1Inhulets wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-03InhuletsPolissya IIPersha Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polissya II vs Inhulets odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Polissya II Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now