Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
Prykarpattia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lokomotiv Kyiv
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia
| Probability | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Draw | Prykarpattia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.4% | 24.9% | 19.6% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 55.4% | 24.9% | 19.6% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia match preview
Lokomotiv Kyiv faces Prykarpattia in a Persha Liga matchup with Lokomotiv holding a 55% probability of winning, while a draw is at 25% and Prykarpattia at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with expected goals of 1.83 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.01 for Prykarpattia. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Lokomotiv Kyiv recording a sequence of L-W-L-D-W-D, and Prykarpattia struggling with D-D-L-D-L-L.
The analysis suggests a strong chance of over 2.5 goals at 54%, and both teams scoring at 55%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia ended in a draw, with Lokomotiv having no wins against Prykarpattia historically. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Prykarpattia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 55.4% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 55.4% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Prykarpattia | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia stats
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia recent form
| LWLDWD | |
| DDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia season so far
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Prykarpattia record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Prykarpattia | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Persha Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.