Persha Liga Β· Β·Matchday 17

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia

Garuda Lions Prediction: Lokomotiv Kyiv

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.01.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lokomotiv Kyiv 55%
Draw 25%
Prykarpattia 20%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Lokomotiv Kyiv wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLokomotiv KyivDrawPrykarpattia
Model55.4%24.9%19.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final55.4%24.9%19.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Lokomotiv Kyiv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia match preview

Lokomotiv Kyiv faces Prykarpattia in a Persha Liga matchup with Lokomotiv holding a 55% probability of winning, while a draw is at 25% and Prykarpattia at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with expected goals of 1.83 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.01 for Prykarpattia. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Lokomotiv Kyiv recording a sequence of L-W-L-D-W-D, and Prykarpattia struggling with D-D-L-D-L-L.

The analysis suggests a strong chance of over 2.5 goals at 54%, and both teams scoring at 55%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia ended in a draw, with Lokomotiv having no wins against Prykarpattia historically. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lokomotiv Kyiv ↓ / Prykarpattia β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia expected goals

Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.83
Prykarpattia 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.85

Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia attack and defence ratings

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Prykarpattia

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lokomotiv Kyiv 55.4% 1.80 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 54.6% 1.83 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.4% 1.24 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 44.6% 2.24 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lokomotiv Kyiv55.4%
Draw24.9%
Prykarpattia19.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.6%
No45.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.4%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Lokomotiv Kyiv win32.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss44.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia stats

Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lokomotiv Kyiv and Prykarpattia season so far

league record

Lokomotiv Kyiv record

  • They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prykarpattia record

  • They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Lokomotiv Kyiv wins 1Draws 0Prykarpattia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02PrykarpattiaLokomotiv KyivPersha Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Prykarpattia odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Lokomotiv Kyiv Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now