Persha Liga Β· Β·Matchday 17

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Garuda Lions Prediction: Viktoriya Mykolaivka

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.78.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka II 17%
Draw 27%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 56%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
14% of simulated outcomes

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKolos Kovalivka IIDrawViktoriya Mykolaivka
Model16.9%27.3%55.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final16.9%27.3%55.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka match preview

In the upcoming match between Kolos Kovalivka II and Viktoriya Mykolaivka, Viktoriya Mykolaivka holds a significant advantage according to our model, with a 56% probability of winning compared to Kolos Kovalivka II's 17%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 14% probability. Kolos Kovalivka II has struggled recently, recording a series of draws and losses, while Viktoriya Mykolaivka has shown improved form with two wins in their last three matches.

The expected goals indicate a clear disparity, with Kolos Kovalivka II projected to score 0.78 goals and Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1.59. Additionally, there is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring is estimated at 44%. This matchup presents a challenging scenario for Kolos Kovalivka II as they aim to turn their fortunes around.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kolos Kovalivk ↓ / Viktoriya Myko β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Kolos Kovalivka II and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals

Kolos Kovalivka II 0.78
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1.59

Total expected goals: 2.37

Kolos Kovalivka II and Viktoriya Mykolaivka attack and defence ratings

Kolos Kovalivka II

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 55.7% 1.79 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 55.9% 1.79 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.1% 1.20 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kolos Kovalivka II16.9%
Draw27.3%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka55.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.2%
Under 2.557.8%
Both teams to scoreYes44.1%
No55.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.3%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)83.1%
Handicap -1Viktoriya Mykolaivka win30.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.8%
1-112.7%
0-211.9%

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka stats

Kolos Kovalivka II and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kolos Kovalivka II and Viktoriya Mykolaivka season so far

league record

Kolos Kovalivka II record

  • They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.

Viktoriya Mykolaivka record

  • They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Kolos Kovalivka II wins 0Draws 1Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Viktoriya MykolaivkaKolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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