Kulykiv
vs
Chernihiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kulykiv
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kulykiv vs Chernihiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kulykiv vs Chernihiv
| Probability | Kulykiv | Draw | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 19.3% | 12.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.0% | 19.3% | 12.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kulykiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Kulykiv vs Chernihiv match preview
Kulykiv enters the match against Chernihiv with a strong probability of winning at 68%, while Chernihiv has a lower chance of 13%. The expected goals for Kulykiv stand at 2.38 compared to Chernihiv's 0.96, indicating a significant disparity in offensive output. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Kulykiv has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Chernihiv has struggled significantly, losing five of their last six games. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 65%, and there is a 57% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kulykiv and Chernihiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Kulykiv and Chernihiv attack and defence ratings
Kulykiv
Chernihiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kulykiv vs Chernihiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kulykiv | 68.0% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Chernihiv | 12.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win | 46.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 8.9% |
Kulykiv vs Chernihiv stats
Kulykiv and Chernihiv recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kulykiv and Chernihiv season so far
Kulykiv record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Chernihiv record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kulykiv vs Chernihiv head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Chernihiv | Kulykiv | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.