SK Poltava
vs
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Garuda Lions Prediction: SK Poltava
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SK Poltava is the favourite, not a value bet.
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
| Probability | SK Poltava | Draw | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
| Market | 42.7% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| Final | 42.6% | 28.6% | 28.8% |
| Edge | -0.0% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.1% per unit staked (our 42.6% × 2.25 − 1).
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk match preview
SK Poltava will face Ahrobiznes Volochysk in a match that sees the home side with a 40% chance of victory, while Ahrobiznes has a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of SK Poltava, with an expected goals tally of 1.52 for the home team and 1.24 for the visitors. Both teams have shown the potential for scoring, with a 57% likelihood for both teams to find the net.
In terms of recent form, SK Poltava has experienced mixed results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk has been more consistent, recording four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Historically, SK Poltava has dominated their recent encounters, winning four out of the last five meetings against Ahrobiznes.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SK Poltava and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
SK Poltava and Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack and defence ratings
SK Poltava
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 42.6% | 2.35 | -0.0% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 42.6% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk stats
SK Poltava and Ahrobiznes Volochysk recent form
| SK Poltava |
LLWWLW |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SK Poltava and Ahrobiznes Volochysk season so far
SK Poltava record
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-04 | SK Poltava | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-12 | SK Poltava | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SK Poltava vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 28.9%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.10 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.14 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.11 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .