SK Poltava
vs
Metal Kharkiv
3 – 0 Full time
| 0′ | Metal Kharkiv | ||
| 13′ | S. Seytkhalilov | ||
| 44′ | B. Kobzar | ||
| 88′ | V. Sad | ||
| 90′ | M. Kononov |
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv
| Probability | SK Poltava | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 33.6% | 34.1% |
| Market | 51.3% | 28.2% | 20.6% |
| Final | 46.5% | 29.5% | 23.9% |
| Edge | -19.0% | +5.5% | +13.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv attack and defence ratings
SK Poltava
Metal Kharkiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv: result vs prediction
SK Poltava 3 – 0 Metal Kharkiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 46.5% | 2.15 | -19.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 46.5% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Metal Kharkiv | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.5% |
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv stats
SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv recent form
| SK Poltava |
LDWDWD |
| Metal Kharkiv |
LWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv going into this match
SK Poltava record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | Metal Kharkiv | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | SK Poltava | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 28.2%, away 20.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.17 | 4.34 |