Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv

1 – 0 Full time

15′A. Benedyuk
42′S. Malysh
46′M. OrikhovskyiD. Prykhodko
52′Y. ProfatyloV. Rozhko
57′D. Tuzenko
60′D. TuzenkoT. Khussin
60′B. MogylnyiS. Ursolov
66′D. Vernattus
74′D. Yanyuk
78′K. VlagaI. Gryshchenko
78′O. TsvirenkoY. Abramov
80′O. ManastyrnyiY. Ryazantsev
80′D. YanyukY. Knyazev
84′M. BagachanskyiO. Mizyuk
87′I. Gryshchenko
Inhulets 36%
Draw 29%
Metal Kharkiv 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInhuletsDrawMetal Kharkiv
Model31.0%29.2%39.8%
Market37.3%29.5%33.2%
Final35.7%29.4%34.9%
Edge-6.3%-0.3%+6.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inhulets ↓ / Metal Kharkiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Inhulets and Metal Kharkiv expected goals

Inhulets 1.17
Metal Kharkiv 1.36

Total expected goals: 2.53

Inhulets and Metal Kharkiv attack and defence ratings

Inhulets

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Metal Kharkiv

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv: result vs prediction

Inhulets 1 – 0 Metal Kharkiv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inhulets 35.7% 2.80 -6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.0% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inhulets35.7%
Draw29.4%
Metal Kharkiv34.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.4%
Under 2.553.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.1%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Inhulets win13.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss69.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.5%
0-09.2%

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv stats

Inhulets and Metal Kharkiv recent form

newest first
Inhulets DWLLWD
Metal Kharkiv WDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inhulets and Metal Kharkiv going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inhulets record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metal Kharkiv record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Inhulets wins 1Draws 0Metal Kharkiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-22InhuletsMetal KharkivPersha Liga3-0
2025-08-10Metal KharkivInhuletsPersha Liga1-2
2023-03-11InhuletsMetal KharkivPremier League2-1
2022-08-29Metal KharkivInhuletsPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inhulets vs Metal Kharkiv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.5%, draw 29.3%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.41 3.05 2.70
Betfair 2.40 3.10 2.70
Dafabet 2.01 3.45 3.40
Marathonbet 2.41 3.04 2.71
Superbet 1.97 3.35 3.30
William Hill 2.40 2.90 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▲ +0.42
X 3.04 ▼ -0.36
2 2.70 ▼ -0.65

3 snapshots recorded, from .