Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Polissya II
vs
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | A. NyzhnykA. Zin | ||
| 19′ | A. Araujo | ||
| 22′ | V. Krystin | ||
| 36′ | D. Talko | ||
| 40′ | N. Nych | ||
| 44′ | O. Ivanov | ||
| 45′ | M. Kravchenko | ||
| 46′ | A. AraujoB. Panchyshyn | ||
| 46′ | M. RaskoB. Makouana | ||
| 46′ | M. KravchenkoO. Kostrytsya | ||
| 46′ | V. KrystinA. Borovskyi | ||
| 47′ | A. Riznyk | ||
| 54′ | Y. Karaman | ||
| 72′ | I. RomanchukM. Gryshchenko | ||
| 77′ | B. Panchyshyn | ||
| 82′ | V. Teplyi | ||
| 87′ | M. DanfakhaV. Kramar |
Polissya II
29%
Draw
26%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
45%
Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
| Probability | Polissya II | Draw | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 25.6% | 45.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.0% | 25.6% | 45.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected goals
Polissya II
1.35
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.73
Total expected goals: 3.08
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack and defence ratings
Polissya II
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk: result vs prediction
Polissya II 3 – 2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polissya II | 29.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk stats
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk recent form
| Polissya II |
DLDLLD |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polissya II and Ahrobiznes Volochysk going into this match
Polissya II record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.