Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
vs
Polissya II
1 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | I. Romanchuk | ||
| 12′ | S. Sharay | ||
| 38′ | D. KnyshA. Lyegostayev | ||
| 59′ | I. AllyO. Kostrytsya | ||
| 59′ | M. GryshchenkoB. Makouana | ||
| 63′ | S. SharayD. Kirichenko | ||
| 63′ | A. ShpyryonokD. Hryshchenko | ||
| 77′ | V. KramarA. Adjei | ||
| 84′ | O. ChernovA. Ryabyi | ||
| 84′ | Y. DobrokhotovD. Dolinskyi | ||
| 90′ | I. RomanchukV. Mezentsev |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
68%
Draw
21%
Polissya II
10%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II
| Probability | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | Polissya II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.2% | 21.4% | 10.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.2% | 21.4% | 10.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II expected goals
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2.02
Polissya II
0.67
Total expected goals: 2.69
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II attack and defence ratings
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Polissya II
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II: result vs prediction
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1 – 1 Polissya II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 68.2% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Polissya II | 10.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 43.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II stats
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II recent form
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
WWWWWL |
| Polissya II |
LDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II going into this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polissya II record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.