Metal Kharkiv
vs
UCSA
3 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | O. Khoblenko | ||
| 42′ | D. Vernattus | ||
| 46′ | M. AndrushchenkoO. Zhdanovych | ||
| 57′ | K. Digtyar | ||
| 73′ | B. Porokh | ||
| 77′ | M. SytnykovA. Emere | ||
| 77′ | VitinhoMatheusinho | ||
| 77′ | O. SklyarS. Petko | ||
| 80′ | D. Sabiyev | ||
| 80′ | M. OrikhovskyiY. Abramov | ||
| 85′ | D. SabiyevD. Makhnev | ||
| 87′ | O. TsvirenkoO. Mizyuk | ||
| 90′ | R. Yuvkhymets | ||
| 90′ | O. Zhdanovych | ||
| 90′ | B. Porokh |
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA
| Probability | Metal Kharkiv | Draw | UCSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 26.8% | 25.2% |
| Market | 43.0% | 28.9% | 28.1% |
| Final | 44.3% | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +5.0% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
Why Metal Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.14.
- The market prices Metal Kharkiv below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metal Kharkiv and UCSA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Metal Kharkiv and UCSA attack and defence ratings
Metal Kharkiv
UCSA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA: result vs prediction
Metal Kharkiv 3 – 1 UCSA
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
- SK Poltava vs Inhulets — team news & stats
- Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil — team news & stats
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka v Polissya II — match page
- Yarud Mariupol' v Kulykiv — match page
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Probiy Horodenka — team news & stats
- Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria
Before and after this match
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 44.3% | 2.26 | +5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 44.3% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| UCSA | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA stats
Metal Kharkiv and UCSA recent form
| Metal Kharkiv |
DLWWLL |
| UCSA |
LDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metal Kharkiv and UCSA going into this match
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
UCSA record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Metal Kharkiv | UCSA | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | UCSA | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | UCSA | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-18 | Metal Kharkiv | UCSA | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 28.9%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.10 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.12 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.20 |