UCSA vs Inhulets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UCSA vs Inhulets
| Probability | UCSA | Draw | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 24.9% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.9% | 24.9% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why UCSA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
UCSA and Inhulets expected goals
UCSA
1.82
Inhulets
1.31
Total expected goals: 3.13
UCSA and Inhulets attack and defence ratings
UCSA
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Inhulets
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
UCSA vs Inhulets: result vs prediction
UCSA 1 – 2 Inhulets
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
UCSA vs Inhulets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCSA | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCSA | 48.9% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Inhulets | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | UCSA win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
UCSA vs Inhulets stats
UCSA and Inhulets recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UCSA and Inhulets going into this match
UCSA record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inhulets record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
UCSA vs Inhulets head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1UCSA wins
1Draws
0Inhulets wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Inhulets | UCSA | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | UCSA | Inhulets | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.