Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Metal Kharkiv
vs
Nyva Ternopil
1 – 1 Full time
Metal Kharkiv
46%
Draw
32%
Nyva Ternopil
22%
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
| Probability | Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 31.8% | 22.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.1% | 31.8% | 22.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Metal Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
Metal Kharkiv
1.24
Nyva Ternopil
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.04
Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil attack and defence ratings
Metal Kharkiv
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Nyva Ternopil
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil: result vs prediction
Metal Kharkiv 1 – 1 Nyva Ternopil
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 46.1% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil stats
Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil recent form
| Metal Kharkiv |
LWWLLW |
| Nyva Ternopil |
WLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil going into this match
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Metal Kharkiv wins
0Draws
2Nyva Ternopil wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Nyva Ternopil | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Metal Kharkiv | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.