Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Chernihiv
vs
Nyva Ternopil
1 – 0 Full time
| 23′ | M. Serdyuk | ||
| 46′ | D. MyronenkoY. Shalfeev | ||
| 46′ | A. PorokhnyaV. Rogozynskyi | ||
| 46′ | K. KvasV. Bugaj | ||
| 46′ | N. KasardaM. Pezhynskyi | ||
| 60′ | A. NovikovD. Bezborodko | ||
| 75′ | M. SerdyukV. Koydan | ||
| 76′ | A. BoryachukA. Dudik | ||
| 82′ | T. GalasD. Pokas | ||
| 85′ | E. GalstyanP. Shushko |
Chernihiv
38%
Draw
34%
Nyva Ternopil
28%
Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil
| Probability | Chernihiv | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 34.3% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.0% | 34.3% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
Chernihiv and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
Chernihiv
1.05
Nyva Ternopil
0.86
Total expected goals: 1.90
Chernihiv and Nyva Ternopil attack and defence ratings
Chernihiv
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Nyva Ternopil
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil: result vs prediction
Chernihiv 1 – 0 Nyva Ternopil
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 38.0% |
| Draw | 34.3% | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.7% |
| No | 61.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chernihiv win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 14.3% |
Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil stats
Chernihiv and Nyva Ternopil recent form
| Chernihiv |
LDDDDL |
| Nyva Ternopil |
DWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chernihiv and Nyva Ternopil going into this match
Chernihiv record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Chernihiv wins
2Draws
1Nyva Ternopil wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Chernihiv | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Nyva Ternopil | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Chernihiv | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 3-3 |
| 2024-04-13 | Nyva Ternopil | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.