Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv

1 – 1 Full time

10′O. Synytsya
14′V. Semotyuk
16′M. Podolyak
32′M. Podolyak
32′M. Podolyak
46′A. RemenyakY. Gunichev
58′S. KyslenkoN. Grytsak
58′V. SemotyukA. Lebedenko
58′A. BeyR. Lisovyk
67′V. Patulyak
72′V. Patulyak
73′O. SynytsyaP. Maletsky
88′P. OrikhovskyiO. Gerega
88′R. GagunR. Kovalyuk
88′R. MalskyiD. Volkov
88′V. PatulyakO. Panasyuk
88′M. SharaburaD. Galadey

Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Yarud Mariupol' 36%
Draw 26%
Kulykiv 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYarud Mariupol'DrawKulykiv
Model36.3%26.3%37.4%
Market———
Final36.3%26.3%37.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yarud Mariupol ↓ / Kulykiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 6% 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Yarud Mariupol' and Kulykiv expected goals

Yarud Mariupol' 1.51
Kulykiv 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.05

Yarud Mariupol' and Kulykiv attack and defence ratings

Yarud Mariupol'

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Kulykiv

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv: result vs prediction

Yarud Mariupol' 1 – 1 Kulykiv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kulykiv 37.4% 2.68 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.7% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yarud Mariupol'36.3%
Draw26.3%
Kulykiv37.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.6%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)63.7%
Handicap -1Kulykiv win18.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss62.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv stats

Yarud Mariupol' and Kulykiv recent form

newest first
Yarud Mariupol' WWLLLW
Kulykiv WLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yarud Mariupol' and Kulykiv going into this match

league record before kick-off

Yarud Mariupol' record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Kulykiv record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.