Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv

1 – 0 Full time

43′T. Titarenko
56′S. ShevchukI. Melnychenko
56′D. DymnychR. Taranukha
56′D. Kolesnyk
59′B. ManuilovB. Mordas
69′S. MyakushkoD. Romanenko
74′M. VasyletsD. Andryushchenko
74′M. StargorodskyiD. Khrul
79′B. Sokol
81′B. Mordas
84′D. Kolesnyk
89′D. KolesnykK. Prykhodko
90′P. SavchukA. Sabalayev

Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka II 34%
Draw 30%
Lokomotiv Kyiv 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKolos Kovalivka IIDrawLokomotiv Kyiv
Model33.1%32.4%34.5%
Market33.8%29.6%36.6%
Final33.6%30.3%36.0%
Edge-0.7%+2.8%-2.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kolos Kovalivk ↓ / Lokomotiv Kyiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Kolos Kovalivka II and Lokomotiv Kyiv expected goals

Kolos Kovalivka II 1.05
Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.13

Kolos Kovalivka II and Lokomotiv Kyiv attack and defence ratings

Kolos Kovalivka II

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: result vs prediction

Kolos Kovalivka II 1 – 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lokomotiv Kyiv 36.0% 2.77 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.7% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kolos Kovalivka II33.6%
Draw30.3%
Lokomotiv Kyiv36.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.8%
Under 2.564.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.0%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.4%
Handicap -1Lokomotiv Kyiv win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.3%
0-111.5%

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv stats

Kolos Kovalivka II and Lokomotiv Kyiv recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Kolos Kovalivka II and Lokomotiv Kyiv going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kolos Kovalivka II record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.

Lokomotiv Kyiv record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Kolos Kovalivka II wins 2Draws 0Lokomotiv Kyiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Kolos Kovalivka IILokomotiv KyivDruha Liga1-1
2026-03-22Lokomotiv KyivKolos Kovalivka IIDruha Liga0-2
2025-10-05Kolos Kovalivka IILokomotiv KyivDruha Liga1-1
2024-10-26Kolos Kovalivka IILokomotiv KyivDruha Liga3-1
2024-08-25Lokomotiv KyivKolos Kovalivka IIDruha Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 29.6%, away 36.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.65 2.95 2.50
1xBet 2.70 2.98 2.45
Bet365 2.30 3.10 2.80
Betano 2.65 3.05 2.47
Betfair 2.63 3.00 2.50
Dafabet 2.70 3.20 2.50
Marathonbet 2.68 3.05 2.43
Pinnacle 2.67 3.09 2.35
William Hill 2.70 2.88 2.45

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.