Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
SK Poltava
2 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | D. Prikhna | ||
| 33′ | B. Mordas | ||
| 40′ | D. Prikhna | ||
| 43′ | V. SadV. Pidlepych | ||
| 51′ | B. Kobzar | ||
| 56′ | A. Golovatenko | ||
| 62′ | V. Danylenko | ||
| 68′ | V. TymenkoS. Ikenna | ||
| 71′ | B. Mordas | ||
| 75′ | V. OdaryukD. Galenkov | ||
| 75′ | B. KobzarO. Vivdych | ||
| 77′ | M. Kononov | ||
| 79′ | S. Myakushko | ||
| 83′ | S. MyakushkoB. Manuilov | ||
| 85′ | V. DanylenkoD. Blagodarnyi | ||
| 86′ | B. Manuilov |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava
| Probability | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Draw | SK Poltava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 35.3% | 37.2% |
| Market | 24.2% | 28.3% | 47.5% |
| Final | 25.0% | 30.1% | 44.9% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +7.0% | -10.3% |
Why SK Poltava
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Kyiv
SK Poltava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava: result vs prediction
Lokomotiv Kyiv 2 – 1 SK Poltava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 44.9% | 2.23 | -10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 25.0% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| SK Poltava | 44.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.4% |
| No | 63.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.8% |
| 0-1 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava stats
Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava recent form
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
LLDLDD |
| SK Poltava |
DWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava going into this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
SK Poltava record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.6%, draw 27.9%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78 | 3.07 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.24 | 1.88 |
| Superbet | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .