Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Oleksandria
vs
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1 – 0 Full time
| 44′ | R. Tolochko | ||
| 46′ | D. KirichenkoD. Hryshchenko | ||
| 46′ | I. IlchukD. Melnyk | ||
| 57′ | M. Voytikhovskiy | ||
| 60′ | S. SharayA. Shpyryonok | ||
| 62′ | JhonnatanN. Gavrylyuk | ||
| 79′ | S. BuletsaO. Prytula |
Oleksandria
28%
Draw
32%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
40%
Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
| Probability | Oleksandria | Draw | Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 32.1% | 39.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.3% | 32.1% | 39.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Oleksandria and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals
Oleksandria
0.95
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.17
Total expected goals: 2.12
Oleksandria and Viktoriya Mykolaivka attack and defence ratings
Oleksandria
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.66 -34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: result vs prediction
Oleksandria 1 – 0 Viktoriya Mykolaivka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 28.3% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 39.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-1 | 12.7% |
Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka stats
Oleksandria and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form
| Oleksandria |
DWWWDD |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oleksandria and Viktoriya Mykolaivka going into this match
Oleksandria record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.