Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Kolos Kovalivka II
vs
SK Poltava
0 – 1 Full time
Kolos Kovalivka II
34%
Draw
30%
SK Poltava
36%
Kolos Kovalivka II vs SK Poltava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka II vs SK Poltava
| Probability | Kolos Kovalivka II | Draw | SK Poltava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 29.9% | 35.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.4% | 29.9% | 35.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SK Poltava
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Kolos Kovalivka II and SK Poltava expected goals
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.21
SK Poltava
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.45
Kolos Kovalivka II and SK Poltava attack and defence ratings
Kolos Kovalivka II
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.27 +27%
SK Poltava
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kolos Kovalivka II vs SK Poltava: result vs prediction
Kolos Kovalivka II 0 – 1 SK Poltava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolos Kovalivka II vs SK Poltava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 34.4% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| SK Poltava | 35.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-1 | 9.4% |
Kolos Kovalivka II vs SK Poltava stats
Kolos Kovalivka II and SK Poltava recent form
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
LLLW |
| SK Poltava |
DWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II and SK Poltava going into this match
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
SK Poltava record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.