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Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia

1 – 2 Full time

Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr

Polissya II 33%
Draw 29%
Prykarpattia 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polissya II vs Prykarpattia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolissya IIDrawPrykarpattia
Model32.7%29.0%38.2%
Market———
Final32.7%29.0%38.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Prykarpattia

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polissya II ↓ / Prykarpattia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Polissya II and Prykarpattia expected goals

Polissya II 1.22
Prykarpattia 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.57

Polissya II and Prykarpattia attack and defence ratings

Polissya II

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Prykarpattia

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia: result vs prediction

Polissya II 1 – 2 Prykarpattia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Prykarpattia 38.2% 2.61 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polissya II32.7%
Draw29.0%
Prykarpattia38.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.8%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)67.3%
Handicap -1Prykarpattia win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.0%
0-08.9%

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia stats

Polissya II and Prykarpattia recent form

newest first
Polissya II DLLD
Prykarpattia WLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Polissya II and Prykarpattia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polissya II record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Prykarpattia record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Polissya II vs Prykarpattia odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.