Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

0 – 3 Full time

Probiy Horodenka 18%
Draw 29%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProbiy HorodenkaDrawViktoriya Mykolaivka
Model18.2%29.3%52.5%
Market———
Final18.2%29.3%52.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Probiy Horoden ↓ / Viktoriya Myko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals

Probiy Horodenka 0.75
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.21

Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka attack and defence ratings

Probiy Horodenka

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: result vs prediction

Probiy Horodenka 0 – 3 Viktoriya Mykolaivka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 52.5% 1.90 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 58.4% 1.71 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.8% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Probiy Horodenka18.2%
Draw29.3%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka52.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%
Both teams to scoreYes41.6%
No58.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.5%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)81.8%
Handicap -1Viktoriya Mykolaivka win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.9%
1-113.3%
0-012.3%

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka stats

Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Probiy Horodenka and Viktoriya Mykolaivka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Probiy Horodenka record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Viktoriya Mykolaivka record

  • They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Probiy Horodenka wins 0Draws 0Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Viktoriya MykolaivkaProbiy HorodenkaPersha Liga0-1
2025-11-02Probiy HorodenkaViktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.