Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava

2 – 1 Full time

13′A. Bey
67′V. Sad
80′O. Savoshko
Kulykiv 50%
Draw 28%
SK Poltava 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kulykiv vs SK Poltava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKulykivDrawSK Poltava
Model50.0%28.1%21.9%
Market———
Final50.0%28.1%21.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Kulykiv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.94.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kulykiv ↓ / SK Poltava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Kulykiv and SK Poltava expected goals

Kulykiv 1.54
SK Poltava 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.48

Kulykiv and SK Poltava attack and defence ratings

Kulykiv

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.89 -11%

SK Poltava

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava: result vs prediction

Kulykiv 2 – 1 SK Poltava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kulykiv 50.0% 2.00 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kulykiv50.0%
Draw28.1%
SK Poltava21.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.1%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.0%
Handicap -1Kulykiv win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-011.7%
2-09.9%

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava stats

Kulykiv and SK Poltava recent form

newest first
Kulykiv LWDWLW
SK Poltava WLDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kulykiv and SK Poltava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kulykiv record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

SK Poltava record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kulykiv vs SK Poltava odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.