Oleksandria
vs
Yarud Mariupol'
1 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | S. Buletsa | ||
| 46′ | N. GrytsakS. Kyslenko | ||
| 57′ | O. KhakhlyovA. Kukharuk | ||
| 57′ | A. RemenyakR. Kovalyuk | ||
| 63′ | Y. KopynaD. Chernysh | ||
| 69′ | V. Sydorenko | ||
| 70′ | M. Tretyakov | ||
| 72′ | S. BuletsaA. Storchous | ||
| 83′ | R. KuzmynD. Kremchanin |
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'
| Probability | Oleksandria | Draw | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 32.6% | 32.9% |
| Market | 55.5% | 26.1% | 18.4% |
| Final | 50.2% | 27.7% | 22.0% |
| Edge | -21.0% | +6.5% | +14.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oleksandria and Yarud Mariupol' expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Oleksandria and Yarud Mariupol' attack and defence ratings
Oleksandria
Yarud Mariupol'
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol': result vs prediction
Oleksandria 1 – 1 Yarud Mariupol'
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 50.2% | 1.99 | -21.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 50.2% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Yarud Mariupol' | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oleksandria win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 65.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-0 | 11.7% |
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' stats
Oleksandria and Yarud Mariupol' recent form
| Oleksandria |
LWDWWW |
| Yarud Mariupol' |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oleksandria and Yarud Mariupol' going into this match
Oleksandria record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Yarud Mariupol' record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-03 | Oleksandria | Yarud Mariupol' | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 26.1%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.42 | 4.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.35 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.44 | 4.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .