Yarud Mariupol'
vs
Nyva Ternopil
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | Y. GunichevR. Kovalyuk | ||
| 46′ | A. RemenyakO. Synytsya | ||
| 60′ | S. KyslenkoN. Grytsak | ||
| 63′ | M. MysykN. Kasarda | ||
| 63′ | A. BoryachukV. Bugaj | ||
| 63′ | V. Bugaj | ||
| 72′ | O. Nikolyshyn | ||
| 77′ | A. KukharukP. Maletsky | ||
| 78′ | D. RezepovT. Galas | ||
| 90′ | T. Galas |
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil
| Probability | Yarud Mariupol' | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 28.9% | 18.0% |
| Market | 49.6% | 27.6% | 22.7% |
| Final | 50.5% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +1.3% | -4.7% |
Why Yarud Mariupol'
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Yarud Mariupol' below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil attack and defence ratings
Yarud Mariupol'
Nyva Ternopil
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil: result vs prediction
Yarud Mariupol' 0 – 0 Nyva Ternopil
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yarud Mariupol' | 50.5% | 1.98 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yarud Mariupol' | 50.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yarud Mariupol' win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil stats
Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil recent form
| Yarud Mariupol' |
DWWDWW |
| Nyva Ternopil |
DWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil going into this match
Yarud Mariupol' record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Nyva Ternopil | Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Nyva Ternopil | Yarud Mariupol' | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Nyva Ternopil | Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga | 2-3 |
| 2022-11-12 | Nyva Ternopil | Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-23 | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 27.6%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.66 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.22 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.16 | 3.88 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .