Nyva Ternopil
vs
Kolos Kovalivka II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nyva Ternopil
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II
| Probability | Nyva Ternopil | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 30.0% | 24.8% |
| Market | 50.2% | 27.3% | 22.5% |
| Final | 48.9% | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
Why Nyva Ternopil
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.95.
Best available price on the pick: 1.84, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II match preview
Nyva Ternopil hosts Kolos Kovalivka II in a Persha Liga clash, with the model indicating a 46% probability of a home win, while a draw stands at 29% and an away victory at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, projected at 11%, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% likelihood of both teams scoring.
In terms of expected goals, Nyva Ternopil is forecasted to net 1.47, compared to Kolos Kovalivka II's 1.05. Nyva Ternopil's recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Kolos Kovalivka II has recorded two wins and three losses in their latest five encounters. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II attack and defence ratings
Nyva Ternopil
Kolos Kovalivka II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 48.9% | 2.04 | -5.0% | 1.84 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 48.9% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyva Ternopil win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II stats
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
| Nyva Ternopil |
DDWLLD |
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II season so far
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.2%, draw 27.3%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.29 | 4.05 |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .