Nyva Ternopil
vs
Kolos Kovalivka II
3 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Nyva Ternopil | ||
| 49′ | D. Rezepov | ||
| 65′ | A. Gabelok | ||
| 78′ | M. Kazakov | ||
| 82′ | R. Taranukha | ||
| 90′ | N. Kasarda |
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II
| Probability | Nyva Ternopil | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 30.0% | 24.9% |
| Market | 52.2% | 27.1% | 20.7% |
| Final | 50.4% | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
Why Nyva Ternopil
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II attack and defence ratings
Nyva Ternopil
Kolos Kovalivka II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II: result vs prediction
Nyva Ternopil 3 – 1 Kolos Kovalivka II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 50.4% | 1.98 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 50.4% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyva Ternopil win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II stats
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
| Nyva Ternopil |
DDWLLD |
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II going into this match
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.2%, draw 27.1%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.35 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.34 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.31 | 4.16 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .