Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
Nyva Ternopil
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lokomotiv Kyiv
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil
| Probability | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Draw | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.3% | 29.2% | 25.6% |
| Market | 45.2% | 28.4% | 26.4% |
| Final | 45.2% | 28.6% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +0.8% | -0.8% |
Why Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil match preview
Lokomotiv Kyiv is set to face Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Lokomotiv Kyiv has a 45% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 29% and Nyva Ternopil at 26%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Lokomotiv Kyiv, which has an 11% chance of occurring. Expected goals are calculated at 1.42 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.03 for Nyva Ternopil.
In terms of recent form, Lokomotiv Kyiv has recorded four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches, while Nyva Ternopil has achieved two wins, two draws, and two losses during the same period. Our model indicates a 44% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, reflecting a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Nyva Ternopil
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 45.2% | 2.21 | +0.1% | 2.06 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 45.2% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Nyva Ternopil | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil stats
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil recent form
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
WDWWWL |
| Nyva Ternopil |
WDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil season so far
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyva Ternopil record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 28.2%, away 27.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.20 | 3.44 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .