Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 12
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
vs
Chernihiv
2 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | M. Kharchenko | ||
| 19′ | A. Novikov | ||
| 20′ | M. Tatarenko | ||
| 23′ | V. KoydanD. Gerasymenko | ||
| 34′ | V. Khamelyuk | ||
| 46′ | Chernihiv | ||
| 50′ | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | ||
| 50′ | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | ||
| 57′ | A. LyegostayevA. Shpyryonok | ||
| 57′ | M. KharchenkoD. Kirichenko | ||
| 64′ | V. Khamelyuk | ||
| 66′ | R. DedukhD. Hryshchenko | ||
| 66′ | S. SharayY. Dobrokhotov | ||
| 69′ | D. PlakhtyrA. Bybik | ||
| 69′ | D. BezgubchenkoS. Galoyan | ||
| 74′ | O. ChernovV. Savytskyi | ||
| 79′ | Y. ShalfeevD. Bezborodko | ||
| 81′ | D. Azizov |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
49%
Draw
30%
Chernihiv
21%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv
| Probability | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 29.8% | 21.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.3% | 29.8% | 21.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.83.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv expected goals
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.41
Chernihiv
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.24
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv attack and defence ratings
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Chernihiv
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv: result vs prediction
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2 – 1 Chernihiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 49.3% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Chernihiv | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv stats
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv recent form
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
DWDLLD |
| Chernihiv |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv going into this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
5Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
0Draws
0Chernihiv wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Chernihiv | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Chernihiv | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Chernihiv | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga | 0-3 |
| 2023-09-09 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.