Viktoriya Mykolaivka
vs
Chernihiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv
| Probability | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Draw | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 28.0% | 19.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.7% | 28.0% | 19.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viktoriya Mykolaivka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.85.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv match preview
Viktoriya Mykolaivka will face Chernihiv in the upcoming Persha Liga match, with a probability of 53% for a home win according to our model. The expected goals for Viktoriya Mykolaivka stand at 1.55, while Chernihiv is projected to score 0.85. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with a 13% probability.
In terms of recent form, Viktoriya Mykolaivka has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Chernihiv has struggled with three losses, one win, and one draw. The head-to-head record shows Viktoriya Mykolaivka winning both of their last two encounters against Chernihiv, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The probability of both teams scoring is at 46%, and there is a 43% chance for over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv attack and defence ratings
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Chernihiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 52.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Chernihiv | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv stats
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv recent form
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
DWDLLD |
| Chernihiv |
LLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv season so far
Viktoriya Mykolaivka record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Chernihiv | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.