Ahrobiznes Volochysk
vs
Metal Kharkiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv
| Probability | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 27.2% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.4% | 27.2% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv match preview
Ahrobiznes Volochysk faces Metal Kharkiv in a Persha Liga matchup with a predicted probability of 48% for a home win, while a draw stands at 27% and an away win for Metal Kharkiv at 24%. The most likely scoreline, according to our model, is 1-0, occurring at a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Ahrobiznes Volochysk is 1.60, compared to Metal Kharkiv's 1.08, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Ahrobiznes Volochysk has recorded a W-D-W-L-W-L streak, while Metal Kharkiv's recent results show D-D-W-L-L-W. The head-to-head record favors Ahrobiznes Volochysk, who has won both of their last encounters with Metal Kharkiv. The model suggests a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv attack and defence ratings
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Metal Kharkiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 48.4% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Metal Kharkiv | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv stats
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv recent form
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
WDWLWL |
| Metal Kharkiv |
DDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv season so far
Ahrobiznes Volochysk record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Metal Kharkiv | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.