Persha Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

2 – 2 Full time

15′A. Dedyaev
28′A. NovotryasovD. Melnyk
30′D. Vernattus
46′K. VlagaY. Abramov
46′D. KaydalovM. Orikhovskyi
56′A. Lyegostayev
58′O. Tsvirenko
61′D. KirichenkoM. Kharchenko
61′A. LyegostayevA. Shpyryonok
78′O. TsvirenkoI. Gryshchenko
81′A. DedyaevD. Ryabyi
81′S. SharayY. Dobrokhotov
85′Y. Dobrokhotov
87′B. Porokh
90′K. Digtyar

OSC Metalist, Kharkiv

Metal Kharkiv 34%
Draw 36%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetal KharkivDrawViktoriya Mykolaivka
Model34.0%36.2%29.8%
Market———
Final34.0%36.2%29.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metal Kharkiv ↓ / Viktoriya Myko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 13% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals

Metal Kharkiv 0.91
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 0.83

Total expected goals: 1.74

Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka attack and defence ratings

Metal Kharkiv

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: result vs prediction

Metal Kharkiv 2 – 2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 36.2% 2.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.7% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.2% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metal Kharkiv34.0%
Draw36.2%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.3%
Under 2.574.7%
Both teams to scoreYes35.0%
No65.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)63.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.0%
Handicap -1Metal Kharkiv win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.9%
1-014.6%
1-114.6%

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka stats

Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metal Kharkiv record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viktoriya Mykolaivka record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Metal Kharkiv wins 0Draws 1Viktoriya Mykolaivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-09Viktoriya MykolaivkaMetal KharkivCup0-1
2026-03-28Metal KharkivViktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga2-1
2025-09-06Viktoriya MykolaivkaMetal KharkivPersha Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.