Oleksandria
vs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | V. Tymenko | ||
| 17′ | Jhonnatan | ||
| 20′ | T. TitarenkoD. Romanenko | ||
| 66′ | O. Sakhnenko | ||
| 70′ | O. Sakhnenko | ||
| 73′ | O. Dykhtyaruk | ||
| 88′ | O. Savchuk |
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Probability | Oleksandria | Draw | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 29.6% | 20.2% |
| Market | 61.8% | 23.1% | 15.0% |
| Final | 58.9% | 24.8% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
Why Oleksandria
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oleksandria and Lokomotiv Kyiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Oleksandria and Lokomotiv Kyiv attack and defence ratings
Oleksandria
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: result vs prediction
Oleksandria 1 – 3 Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 58.9% | 1.70 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oleksandria | 58.9% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.5% |
| No | 56.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oleksandria win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv stats
Oleksandria and Lokomotiv Kyiv recent form
| Oleksandria |
WDLWDW |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oleksandria and Lokomotiv Kyiv going into this match
Oleksandria record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 23.1%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.90 | 6.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.90 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 3.94 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 3.90 | 5.57 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .