Persha Liga Β· Β·Matchday 11

Polissya II vs Kulykiv

Garuda Lions Prediction: Kulykiv

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr

Polissya II 22%
Draw 21%
Kulykiv 57%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Kulykiv wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
70%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Polissya II vs Kulykiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polissya II vs Kulykiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolissya IIDrawKulykiv
Model22.2%20.9%56.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final22.2%20.9%56.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Kulykiv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Polissya II vs Kulykiv match preview

Polissya II faces Kulykiv in the Persha Liga on October 12, 2026, with model probabilities indicating a 22% chance of a Polissya II victory, a 21% likelihood of a draw, and a 57% chance for Kulykiv to win. The expected goals suggest Polissya II may score 1.45, while Kulykiv is projected to net 2.35, pointing towards a potential scoreline of 1-2, which has a 9% probability.

Recent form shows Polissya II with mixed results, recording draws and losses, while Kulykiv has been more consistent with two wins in their last three matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 73%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 70%, indicating an expectation for an engaging match with multiple scoring opportunities.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polissya II ↓ / Kulykiv β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 6% 5% 5% 1 8% 9% 7% 7% 2 6% 6% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Polissya II and Kulykiv expected goals

Polissya II 1.45
Kulykiv 2.35

Total expected goals: 3.80

Polissya II and Kulykiv attack and defence ratings

Polissya II

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Kulykiv

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Polissya II vs Kulykiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kulykiv 56.8% 1.76 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.1% 1.37 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 70.0% 1.43 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.1% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 43.2% 2.32 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polissya II22.2%
Draw20.9%
Kulykiv56.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.1%
Under 2.526.9%
Both teams to scoreYes70.0%
No30.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.2%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)77.8%
Handicap -1Kulykiv win36.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss43.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.0%
1-18.4%
1-37.0%

Polissya II vs Kulykiv stats

Polissya II and Kulykiv recent form

newest first
Polissya II DLLWDL
Kulykiv LWLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polissya II and Kulykiv season so far

league record

Polissya II record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Kulykiv record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Polissya II vs Kulykiv head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Polissya II vs Kulykiv odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Kulykiv Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now