Chernihiv
vs
Prykarpattia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Prykarpattia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia
| Probability | Chernihiv | Draw | Prykarpattia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 31.2% | 42.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.2% | 31.2% | 42.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Prykarpattia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia match preview
Chernihiv faces Prykarpattia in the Persha Liga, with model probabilities indicating a 26% chance of a home win for Chernihiv, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 43% likelihood of an away victory for Prykarpattia. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Expected goals suggest Chernihiv will score 0.94, while Prykarpattia is projected to net 1.27.
Recent form shows Chernihiv struggling with three losses in their last five matches, alongside one win and a draw. In contrast, Prykarpattia has a more favorable record, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games. Historically, Chernihiv has won both of their last two encounters against Prykarpattia, with no draws or wins for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chernihiv and Prykarpattia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Chernihiv and Prykarpattia attack and defence ratings
Chernihiv
Prykarpattia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prykarpattia | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 26.2% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Prykarpattia | 42.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Prykarpattia win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia stats
Chernihiv and Prykarpattia recent form
| Chernihiv |
LLLWLD |
| Prykarpattia |
DLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chernihiv and Prykarpattia season so far
Chernihiv record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Prykarpattia record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Chernihiv | Prykarpattia | Persha Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Prykarpattia | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.