Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
SK Poltava
vs
Chernihiv
3 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | S. Galoyan | ||
| 21′ | M. Kononov | ||
| 53′ | M. Serdyuk | ||
| 59′ | D. BlagodarnyiV. Danylenko | ||
| 68′ | D. Kasimov | ||
| 72′ | S. Seytkhalilov | ||
| 74′ | A. Romanchenko | ||
| 75′ | M. SerdyukA. Bybik | ||
| 75′ | A. NovikovA. Porokhnya | ||
| 75′ | S. GaloyanV. Rogozynskyi | ||
| 83′ | S. Seytkhalilov | ||
| 83′ | A. Bybik | ||
| 87′ | B. KobzarO. Vivdych | ||
| 87′ | V. OdaryukI. Kotsyumaka | ||
| 87′ | D. GalenkovY. Tlumak | ||
| 90′ | M. Buzhyn | ||
| 90′ | Y. Kartushov | ||
| 90′ | V. Sad |
SK Poltava
52%
Draw
29%
Chernihiv
19%
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SK Poltava vs Chernihiv
| Probability | SK Poltava | Draw | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.2% | 28.9% | 18.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.2% | 28.9% | 18.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SK Poltava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
SK Poltava and Chernihiv expected goals
SK Poltava
1.48
Chernihiv
0.79
Total expected goals: 2.26
SK Poltava and Chernihiv attack and defence ratings
SK Poltava
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Chernihiv
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv: result vs prediction
SK Poltava 3 – 2 Chernihiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Poltava | 52.2% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Chernihiv | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Poltava win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv stats
SK Poltava and Chernihiv recent form
| SK Poltava |
LWLDWD |
| Chernihiv |
LLWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SK Poltava and Chernihiv going into this match
SK Poltava record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Chernihiv record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2SK Poltava wins
2Draws
0Chernihiv wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-25 | Chernihiv | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | SK Poltava | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-20 | Chernihiv | SK Poltava | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | SK Poltava | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.