Persha Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Metal Kharkiv
vs
Chernihiv
2 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | D. Prykhodko | ||
| 40′ | D. Bezborodko | ||
| 46′ | D. BezborodkoA. Novikov | ||
| 61′ | S. GaloyanA. Porokhnya | ||
| 61′ | V. RogozynskyiD. Bezgubchenko | ||
| 68′ | O. Zenchenko | ||
| 72′ | Y. ShalfeevD. Myronenko | ||
| 75′ | O. ZenchenkoA. Romanchenko | ||
| 76′ | E. Galstyan | ||
| 85′ | M. OrikhovskyiI. Gryshchenko | ||
| 90′ | D. Prykhodko | ||
| 90′ | D. PrykhodkoD. Zdankov | ||
| 90′ | D. KaydalovY. Isaenko |
Metal Kharkiv
42%
Draw
30%
Chernihiv
28%
Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv
| Probability | Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 30.4% | 28.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.6% | 30.4% | 28.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Metal Kharkiv
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Metal Kharkiv and Chernihiv expected goals
Metal Kharkiv
1.31
Chernihiv
1.03
Total expected goals: 2.34
Metal Kharkiv and Chernihiv attack and defence ratings
Metal Kharkiv
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Chernihiv
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv: result vs prediction
Metal Kharkiv 2 – 0 Chernihiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 41.6% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Chernihiv | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv stats
Metal Kharkiv and Chernihiv recent form
| Metal Kharkiv |
LLWDLW |
| Chernihiv |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metal Kharkiv and Chernihiv going into this match
Metal Kharkiv record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chernihiv record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv vs Chernihiv head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Metal Kharkiv wins
1Draws
1Chernihiv wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Chernihiv | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Metal Kharkiv | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Metal Kharkiv | Chernihiv | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Chernihiv | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.