Persha Liga Β· Β·Matchday 12

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II

Garuda Lions Prediction: Polissya II

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

Probiy Horodenka 35%
Draw 21%
Polissya II 43%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Polissya II wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
78%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
7% of simulated outcomes

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProbiy HorodenkaDrawPolissya II
Model35.4%21.3%43.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final35.4%21.3%43.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II match preview

Probiy Horodenka faces Polissya II in a Persha Liga match on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Probiy Horodenka has a 35% chance of winning, while Polissya II is favored with a 44% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 21%. The expected goals for Probiy Horodenka is 1.99, compared to Polissya II's 2.25, suggesting a competitive encounter.

The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. There is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 79%, and both teams are expected to score with a 78% likelihood. Recent form shows Probiy Horodenka with two wins and four losses, while Polissya II has one win, two draws, and three losses. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Probiy Horoden ↓ / Polissya II β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 5% 4+ 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II expected goals

Probiy Horodenka 2.01
Polissya II 2.22

Total expected goals: 4.23

Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II attack and defence ratings

Probiy Horodenka

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.72 +72%

Polissya II

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.69 +69%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Persha Liga

Before and after this match

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polissya II 43.3% 2.31 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.3% 1.26 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 77.8% 1.29 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.7% 1.27 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Probiy Horodenka35.4%
Draw21.3%
Polissya II43.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.3%
Under 2.520.7%
Both teams to scoreYes77.8%
No22.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.7%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.6%
Handicap -1Polissya II win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
1-27.2%
1-17.2%

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II stats

Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II season so far

league record

Probiy Horodenka record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Polissya II record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Probiy Horodenka wins 0Draws 1Polissya II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-03Probiy HorodenkaPolissya IIDruha Liga3-1
2024-09-21Polissya IIProbiy HorodenkaDruha Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Polissya II Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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