Probiy Horodenka
vs
Polissya II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polissya II
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II
| Probability | Probiy Horodenka | Draw | Polissya II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 21.3% | 43.3% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 35.4% | 21.3% | 43.3% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II match preview
Probiy Horodenka faces Polissya II in a Persha Liga match on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Probiy Horodenka has a 35% chance of winning, while Polissya II is favored with a 44% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 21%. The expected goals for Probiy Horodenka is 1.99, compared to Polissya II's 2.25, suggesting a competitive encounter.
The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. There is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 79%, and both teams are expected to score with a 78% likelihood. Recent form shows Probiy Horodenka with two wins and four losses, while Polissya II has one win, two draws, and three losses. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.23
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II attack and defence ratings
Probiy Horodenka
Polissya II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polissya II | 43.3% | 2.31 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.8% | 1.29 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Probiy Horodenka | 35.4% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Polissya II | 43.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.8% |
| No | 22.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polissya II win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 7.2% |
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II stats
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II recent form
| WWLLLL | |
| LDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Probiy Horodenka and Polissya II season so far
Probiy Horodenka record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Polissya II record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Probiy Horodenka vs Polissya II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Probiy Horodenka | Polissya II | Druha Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Polissya II | Probiy Horodenka | Druha Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.