Persha Liga
·
·Matchday 12
Kolos Kovalivka II
vs
UCSA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolos Kovalivka II
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Kolos Kovalivka II
46%
Draw
25%
UCSA
29%
Chance Kolos Kovalivka II wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes
Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA
| Probability | Kolos Kovalivka II | Draw | UCSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 24.6% | 29.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.1% | 24.6% | 29.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kolos Kovalivka II
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Kolos Kovalivka II and UCSA expected goals
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.84
UCSA
1.44
Total expected goals: 3.28
Kolos Kovalivka II and UCSA attack and defence ratings
Kolos Kovalivka II
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.31 +31%
UCSA
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 46.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| UCSA | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% |
| No | 34.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolos Kovalivka II win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA stats
Kolos Kovalivka II and UCSA recent form
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
LWWLWL |
| UCSA |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II and UCSA season so far
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
UCSA record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.