Inhulets
vs
Kolos Kovalivka II
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inhulets
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Inhulets is the favourite, not a value bet.
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II
| Probability | Inhulets | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 28.9% | 30.2% |
| Market | 43.2% | 27.5% | 29.3% |
| Final | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.5% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (our 42.6% × 2.14 − 1).
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II match preview
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II are set to clash in the Persha Liga on October 25, 2026. Inhulets holds a 43% probability of winning, while Kolos Kovalivka II has a 30% chance, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Inhulets is 1.40, compared to Kolos Kovalivka II's 1.17. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring at a 9% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Inhulets recording three losses followed by two wins and a draw, while Kolos Kovalivka II has drawn once, lost three times, and achieved two wins in their last six matches. Our model suggests a 53% chance for both teams to score and a 47% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II attack and defence ratings
Inhulets
Kolos Kovalivka II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inhulets | 42.6% | 2.35 | -0.6% | 2.14 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inhulets | 42.6% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 29.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inhulets win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II stats
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
| Inhulets |
LLLWWD |
| Kolos Kovalivka II |
DLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inhulets and Kolos Kovalivka II season so far
Inhulets record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka II record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Inhulets vs Kolos Kovalivka II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 27.5%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.27 | 3.12 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.34 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.30 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .