Lokomotiv Kyiv
vs
Inhulets
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lokomotiv Kyiv
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets
| Probability | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Draw | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.4% | 25.5% | 16.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.4% | 25.5% | 16.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets match preview
Lokomotiv Kyiv is set to face Inhulets in a Persha Liga matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Lokomotiv Kyiv holds a 58% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and Inhulets at 16%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Lokomotiv Kyiv, with a 12% likelihood. Expected goals are calculated at 1.75 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 0.81 for Inhulets.
In terms of recent form, Lokomotiv Kyiv has shown solid performance with a record of D-W-D-W-W-W, while Inhulets has struggled, recording L-L-L-W-W-D. Both teams have a 47% probability of scoring and the same percentage for over 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially competitive match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Inhulets expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Inhulets attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Inhulets
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 58.4% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Inhulets | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 41.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.8% |
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Inhulets stats
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Inhulets recent form
| Lokomotiv Kyiv |
DWDWWW |
| Inhulets |
LLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Inhulets season so far
Lokomotiv Kyiv record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inhulets record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.